Bitcoin (BTC) broke below a short-term uptrend as momentum signals turned negative. The cryptocurrency could see further declines toward $30,000, which is near the bottom of a year-long trading range.
BTC failed to hold $40,000 over the past few months and is down by 47% from its all-time high around $69,000 achieved in November of last year. The long-term uptrend has weakened, which suggests upside remains limited this year.
On the weekly chart, BTC is at risk of breaking below its 100-week moving average at $36,247. A second weekly close below that level could yield downside targets toward $30,000 and then $17,823 (a roughly 80% peak-to-trough decline, on par with the 2018 crypto bear market).
Still, May is typically a seasonally strong period for stocks and cryptos. That could keep short-term buyers active at lower support levels, albeit lacking conviction to shift the recent downtrend in price.